The new Bexar Facts/KSAT/San Antonio Report poll showed former Vice President Joe Biden with a sizable lead over President Donald Trump among registered Bexar County voters.
Poll results released Tuesday, two weeks before early voting begins, found 52 percent of Bexar County voters support Biden while 35 percent back Trump. In 2016, Bexar County voters chose Democrat Hillary Clinton over Trump by 14 percentage points.
The poll results came as Trump and Biden were set to appear in the first of three debates Tuesday at 8 p.m. (CDT) on most major networks such as ABC, CBS, NBC, and Fox as well as CNN, MSNBC, and CSPAN. “Fox News Sunday” anchor Chris Wallace was to serve as moderator for the debate, taking place at the Cleveland Clinic Main Campus and co-hosted by the adjacent Case Western Reserve University.
It is the only debate before early voting in Texas starts on Oct. 13. The next two debates will be held on Oct. 15 and 22.
Pollster David Metz, whose firm conducted the Bexar Facts survey of 619 registered Bexar County voters Sept. 17-21, noted that age, race, and gender – in addition to party affiliation – play roles in determining whom voters support for the presidency. Voters under 50 said they will vote for Biden at a 2-to-1 margin, while 48 percent of voters age 65 and over are voting Trump, with 8 percent of senior citizens undecided.
Sixty-three percent of local voters of color said they supported Biden, and 49 percent of whites said they would vote for Trump. Ten percent of white voters were undecided or indicated support for another candidate. Fourteen percent of voters of color were undecided or indicated another candidate.
Only 27 percent of women said they would vote for Trump and his vice president, Mike Pence. Meanwhile, 64 percent favored Biden, whose running mate is California Sen. Kamala Harris.
The Bexar Facts/KSAT/San Antonio Report poll also asked voters about other items on the November ballot, including propositions concerning use of sales tax revenue to fund Pre-K 4 SA, a workforce development initiative, and mass transit.
The latest poll surveyed individuals online and by phone (both landlines and cellphones) in English and Spanish. The margin of error was plus or minus 4 percentage points with a 95 percent confidence level, which is typical of large community polls.
Nationally, Biden is polling an average of 7 percentage points above Trump as of Monday, according to FiveThirtyEight, which analyzes polls and accounts for their quality, sample size, and timeliness.
“Biden’s lead over Trump is both larger and more consistent advantage than 2016 nominee Hillary Clinton’s national lead over Trump at a similar point in the race in the summer of 2016,” according to an analysis by Business Insider. While many voters feel betrayed by national polls in the wake of 2016, “the polls were a lot more accurate than some commentators make them out to be.”
This article has been updated to correct the polling dates to Sept. 17-21.